DeHaven Projections through 2/18 games (assumes cutoff for at large bids will be two #12 seeds):
1's Kansas, Kentucky, Syracuse, Duke
2's Villanova, Purdue, West Virginia, Kansas St
3's Georgetown, Ohio St., BYU, New Mexico
4's Temple, Pittsburgh, Texas, Wisconsin
5's Butler, Gonzaga, Baylor, Xavier
6's Maryland, Michigan St., Vanderbilt, Texas A&M
7's Tennessee, Northern Iowa, Missouri, Wake Forest
8's Clemson, Florida St.,Marquette, Richmond
9's Florida, UTEP, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech
10's California, Oklahoma St., Louisville, UNLV
11's St. Mary's, Illinois, Cornell, UConn
12's Old Dominion, Rhode Island
On the verge (no order): Mississippi St., Dayton, Charlotte, Siena, San Diego St., UAB, Utah St., Seton Hall, Cincinnati, Arizona St.
Big East: 8
ACC: 7
Big 12: 7
Big 10: 5
A10: 4
SEC: 4
MWC: 3
WCC: 2
Pac 10: 1
Other: 5
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I use a combination of materials to do this and I compare what I come up with to Lunardi. The one big conference difference is the Big 10. Teamrankings.com is my favorite rankings to use, much more accurate than the out of date RPI that the committee supposedly uses despite the fact that it always picks a team in the 70's and leaves out a team in the 30's. I suspect they secretly use teamrankings.com as well. Anyway, Michigan St. is #28 there, which would barely be a 7, but Lunardi has them a 4. Out of conference games of note: home win vs. Gonzaga, home loss to Florida, loss at UNC, loss at Texas, the rest were scrubs. Then they beat up on some sorry Big 10 teams and lost at Illinois, at Wisconsin, home vs Purdue, home vs Ohio St. (2-4 in last 6). I don't see it.
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